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Research papers on Deforestation and carbon

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  1. The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview

    Keywan Riahi, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Elmar Kriegler, et al. · 2016 · Global Environmental Change · 6,659 citations

    This paper presents the overview of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) and their energy, land use, and emissions implications. The SSPs are part of a new scenario framework, established by the climate change research community in order to facilitate the integrated analysis of future climate impacts, vulnerabilities, adaptation, and mitigation. The pathways were developed over the last years as a joint community effort and describe plausible major global developments that together would lead in the future to different challenges for mitigation and adaptation to climate change. The SSPs are based on five narratives describing alternative socio-economic developments, including sustainable

  2. Global forecasts of urban expansion to 2030 and direct impacts on biodiversity and carbon pools

    Karen C. Seto, Burak Güneralp, Lucy R. Hutyra · 2012 · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · 4,960 citations

    Urban land-cover change threatens biodiversity and affects ecosystem productivity through loss of habitat, biomass, and carbon storage. However, despite projections that world urban populations will increase to nearly 5 billion by 2030, little is known about future locations, magnitudes, and rates of urban expansion. Here we develop spatially explicit probabilistic forecasts of global urban land-cover change and explore the direct impacts on biodiversity hotspots and tropical carbon biomass. If current trends in population density continue and all areas with high probabilities of urban expansion undergo change, then by 2030, urban land cover will increase by 1.2 million km(2), nearly triplin

  4. Global fire emissions and the contribution of deforestation, savanna, forest, agricultural, and peat fires (1997–2009)

    Guido R. van der Werf, James T. Randerson, Louis Giglio, et al. · 2010 · Atmospheric chemistry and physics · 3,245 citations

    Abstract. New burned area datasets and top-down constraints from atmospheric concentration measurements of pyrogenic gases have decreased the large uncertainty in fire emissions estimates. However, significant gaps remain in our understanding of the contribution of deforestation, savanna, forest, agricultural waste, and peat fires to total global fire emissions. Here we used a revised version of the Carnegie-Ames-Stanford-Approach (CASA) biogeochemical model and improved satellite-derived estimates of area burned, fire activity, and plant productivity to calculate fire emissions for the 1997–2009 period on a 0.5° spatial resolution with a monthly time step. For November 2000 onwards, estimat

  5. Total carbon and nitrogen in the soils of the world

    N.H. Batjes · 1996 · European Journal of Soil Science · 3,229 citations

    Summary The soil is important in sequestering atmospheric CO 2 and in emitting trace gases (e.g. CO 2 , CH 4 and N 2 O) that are radiatively active and enhance the ‘greenhouse’ effect. Land use changes and predicted global warming, through their effects on net primary productivity, the plant community and soil conditions, may have important effects on the size of the organic matter pool in the soil and directly affect the atmospheric concentration of these trace gases. A discrepancy of approximately 350 × 10 15 g (or Pg) of C in two recent estimates of soil carbon reserves worldwide is evaluated using the geo‐referenced database developed for the World Inventory of Soil Emission Potentials (

  6. Global Carbon Budget 2022

    Pierre Friedlingstein, Michael O’Sullivan, Matthew W. Jones, et al. · 2022 · Earth system science data · 1,870 citations

    Abstract. Accurate assessment of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions andtheir redistribution among the atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial biospherein a changing climate is critical to better understand the global carboncycle, support the development of climate policies, and project futureclimate change. Here we describe and synthesize data sets and methodologies toquantify the five major components of the global carbon budget and theiruncertainties. Fossil CO2 emissions (EFOS) are based on energystatistics and cement production data, while emissions from land-use change(ELUC), mainly deforestation, are based on land use and land-use changedata and bookkeeping models. Atmospheric CO2

  8. Estimating Global “Blue Carbon” Emissions from Conversion and Degradation of Vegetated Coastal Ecosystems

    Linwood H. Pendleton, Daniel C. Donato, Brian C. Murray, et al. · 2012 · PLoS ONE · 1,744 citations

    Recent attention has focused on the high rates of annual carbon sequestration in vegetated coastal ecosystems--marshes, mangroves, and seagrasses--that may be lost with habitat destruction ('conversion'). Relatively unappreciated, however, is that conversion of these coastal ecosystems also impacts very large pools of previously-sequestered carbon. Residing mostly in sediments, this 'blue carbon' can be released to the atmosphere when these ecosystems are converted or degraded. Here we provide the first global estimates of this impact and evaluate its economic implications. Combining the best available data on global area, land-use conversion rates, and near-surface carbon stocks in each of

  9. Impact of tropical land-use change on soil organic carbon stocks - a meta-analysis

    Axel Don, Jens Schumacher, Annette Freibauer · 2010 · Global Change Biology · 1,480 citations

    Land-use changes are the second largest source of human-induced greenhouse gas emission, mainly due to deforestation in the tropics and subtropics. CO2 emissions result from biomass and soil organic carbon (SOC) losses and may be offset with afforestation programs. However, the effect of land-use changes on SOC is poorly quantified due to insufficient data quality (only SOC concentrations and no SOC stocks, shallow sampling depth) and representativeness. In a global meta-analysis, 385 studies on land-use change in the tropics were explored to estimate the SOC stock changes for all major land-use change types. The highest SOC losses were caused by conversion of primary forest into cropland (−

  10. Carbon emissions from land use and land-cover change

    R. A. Houghton, Joanna I. House, Julia Pongratz, et al. · 2012 · Biogeosciences · 1,355 citations

    Abstract. The net flux of carbon from land use and land-cover change (LULCC) accounted for 12.5% of anthropogenic carbon emissions from 1990 to 2010. This net flux is the most uncertain term in the global carbon budget, not only because of uncertainties in rates of deforestation and forestation, but also because of uncertainties in the carbon density of the lands actually undergoing change. Furthermore, there are differences in approaches used to determine the flux that introduce variability into estimates in ways that are difficult to evaluate, and not all analyses consider the same types of management activities. Thirteen recent estimates of net carbon emissions from LULCC are summarized h

  11. Baseline Map of Carbon Emissions from Deforestation in Tropical Regions

    Nancy L. Harris, Sandra Brown, Stephen Hagen, et al. · 2012 · Science · 748 citations

    Policies to reduce emissions from deforestation would benefit from clearly derived, spatially explicit, statistically bounded estimates of carbon emissions. Existing efforts derive carbon impacts of land-use change using broad assumptions, unreliable data, or both. We improve on this approach using satellite observations of gross forest cover loss and a map of forest carbon stocks to estimate gross carbon emissions across tropical regions between 2000 and 2005 as 0.81 petagram of carbon per year, with a 90% prediction interval of 0.57 to 1.22 petagrams of carbon per year. This estimate is 25 to 50% of recently published estimates. By systematically matching areas of forest loss with their ca

  18. Carbon density and anthropogenic land-use influences on net land-use change emissions

    S. J. Smith, A. Rothwell · 2013 · Biogeosciences · 25 citations

    Abstract. We examine historical and future land-use emissions using a simple mechanistic carbon-cycle model with regional and ecosystem specific parameterizations. We use the latest gridded data for historical and future land-use changes, which includes estimates for the impact of forest harvesting and secondary forest regrowth. Our central estimate of net terrestrial land-use change emissions, exclusive of climate–carbon feedbacks, is 250 GtC over the last 300 yr. This estimate is most sensitive to assumptions for preindustrial forest and soil carbon densities. We also find that land-use change emissions estimates are sensitive to the treatment of crop and pasture lands. These sensitivities

  21. Can Carbon Finance Optimize Land Use Efficiency? The Example of China’s Carbon Emissions Trading Policy

    Bin Duan, Xuanming Ji · 2021 · Land · 15 citations

    Land resources have become one of the major factors limiting urban development in China. In the context of sustainable development, how to improve land use efficiency (LUE) has become a major challenge on the road to sustainable development in China. Carbon finance provides a new idea for sustainable development. With the help of carbon emissions trading policy (CETP), this paper aims to investigate whether carbon finance can optimize LUE in terms of economic effects and environmental effects. Based on the data of 158 prefectural-level cities in China from 2010 to 2017, this paper uses a combination of qualitative and quantitative analysis to investigate these issues. Specifically, this pape

  22. Influence of carbon mapping and land change modelling on the prediction of carbon emissions from deforestation

    VICTOR HUGO GUTIERREZ-VELEZ, ROBERT GILMORE PONTIUS · 2012 · Environmental Conservation · 10 citations

    SUMMARYThe implementation of an international programme for reducing carbon emissions from deforestation and degradation (REDD) can help to mitigate climate change and bring numerous benefits to environmental conservation. Information on land change modelling and carbon mapping can contribute to quantify future carbon emissions from deforestation. However limitations in data availability and technical capabilities may constitute an obstacle for countries interested in participating in the REDD programme. This paper evaluates the influence of quantity and allocation of mapped carbon stocks and expected deforestation on the prediction of carbon emissions from deforestation. The paper introduce

  23. Carbon emissions and removals from land-use and land-cover change in the Djoum, Mintom, Ngoyla, and Yokadouma forest block, Cameroon (Congo Basin)

    Pascal Freddy Bikono*, Zachée Ambang · 2026 · Journal of Biodiversity and Environmental Sciences (JBES)

    Land-use and land-cover change (LULCC) is a major driver of greenhouse gas emissions in tropical regions and plays a critical role in the global carbon cycle. In the Congo Basin, however, LULCC-associated carbon dynamics remain poorly quantified at local scales, particularly in Cameroon. This study quantified carbon emissions, removals, and the net REDD+ balance associated with land-use changes in the intercommunal forest massif of Djoum, Mintom, Ngoyla, and Yokadouma between 2000 and 2024. Carbon fluxes were estimated from land-use transition data, distinguishing emissions driven by forest conversion from removals linked to forest retention and regeneration. The results indicated that no em

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